Probability Moments
Moments are a set of statistical parameters used to measure the characteristics of a distribution’s shape. For a random variable , the -th moment is the expected value of the -th power of .
Raw Moments (About the Origin)
Raw moments are calculated relative to zero. The -th raw moment is denoted as :
The mean (), representing the “center of mass” of the distribution.
Central Moments (About the Mean)
Central moments describe the shape of the distribution independent of its location. The -th central moment is denoted as :
- 1st Central Moment: Always equals .
- 2nd Central Moment: The Variance (), measuring the spread or scale.
- 3rd Central Moment: Used to calculate Skewness (asymmetry).
- 4th Central Moment: Used to calculate Kurtosis (thickness of tails).
Standardized Moments
To compare different distributions regardless of scale, moments are normalized by the standard deviation :
| Moment | Name | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Mean | Central location. | |
| Variance | Width/Dispersion. | |
| Skewness | Direction and strength of the tail. | |
| Kurtosis | Frequency of outliers (“Peakedness”). |
Moment Generating Function (MGF)
The MGF is a powerful tool that “encapsulates” all moments into a single function:
To extract the -th raw moment, differentiate the MGF times and evaluate at :